Analysts Warn of Continued Conflict Without Inclusive Political Solution
Arakha Times | December 1, 2024
Political analysts have warned that the ongoing conflict in Myanmar will persist unless an inclusive political framework is established, one that includes ethnic armed organisations (EAOs), political parties, ethnic groups, and pro-democracy groups.
U Htun Aung Kyaw, a member of the policy steering committee of the Arakan National Party (ANP), emphasised the need for a broad, inclusive approach. “To narrow the war and broaden the political landscape, we must include everyone,” he said.
“It should be all inclusive. In politics, there are always different beliefs, perceptions, and viewpoints. Even within a single party, there are varying opinions. The challenge is to unite these perspectives for the common good of the state and its people. If we succeed, it could lead to a truly remarkable political history for Myanmar.”
On November 19, the military council’s chairman announced plans to introduce a proportional representation (PR) system in regional, state, and national parliaments. This system aims to ensure fair representation for ethnic groups and the general population.
U Thein Htun Oo, director of the Seninga Strategic Studies Group, called for a renewed commitment to political dialogue.
“Myanmar’s key challenge is demonstrating a genuine desire for a political solution,” he stated. “At times, the government has extended offers, but EAOs have not accepted them. In other cases, the EAOs fail to meet the government’s expectations. The first step is to find solutions that work for both sides.”
He also stressed the importance of resolving Myanmar’s internal issues before seeking external assistance. “Success will come only when we can solve our domestic problems. Once this foundation is laid, external actors can help support the process.”
As violence continues to spread across Myanmar, including in Rakhine State, analysts argue that a broad political dialogue is essential to reducing conflict. “The key to reducing war is expanding the political dialogue,” one local politician said.
International responses are also intensifying. India has invited Myanmar’s political parties for talks, China has closed its border gates and halted trade to pressure ethnic groups in the north, and Thailand’s Prime Minister has offered to facilitate peace negotiations.